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Premia 觀點洞察
Premia 觀點洞察
分享投資見解、洞察行業熱點、探討學術研究

精選觀點 & Webinar

US inflation expectations: Implications for global markets
insightUS inflation expectations: Implications for global markets

The US Federal Reserve pumps out an endless stream of zero interest rate money to finance the Government’s deficit spending. The handouts make most American workers better off financially during the pandemic than before. Meanwhile, the stock market soars. Not bad for the worst pandemic in 100 years. What can possibly go wrong?

Jan 20, 2021

尋找成長賽道:驅動生產力爆發的亞洲創新科技
insight尋找成長賽道:驅動生產力爆發的亞洲創新科技

我們觀察到資產配置模式在轉變:在傳統的地域或因子主導的基礎模式上需要注入更多對新舊產業區分及大趨勢發展的考量,從而在經濟結構性改變中捕捉到長期超額收益。

Jan 15, 2021

Look East
insightLook East

The red-hot performers of the past 12 months have been the broad market indices from North Asia – Kospi (44%), CSI 300 (34%), TWSE (30%)

Jan 12, 2021

常見主題——市場最新資訊和2021佈局
webinar常見主題——市場最新資訊和2021佈局

隨著COVID疫情走向復甦,中美摩擦等地域風險逐漸晴朗,2021投資者可以如何佈局? 我們的聯合首席投資官賴子健先生與我們團隊的郭子豪先生為大家分享對亞洲高成長地區及高成長行業的展望,「我們可以如何通過Premia的投資策略來捕捉這些大趨勢下的盈利機遇,並討論了對近期市場環境相關熱門話題的看法。

Jan 04, 2021

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)

Outperformer from first news of successful vaccines. Emerging ASEAN has been one of the best performers among major global equity indices since the start of November. And that was likely due to the region’s high economic leverage to normalisation after the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and its high trend GDP growth rates relative to other Emerging Market economies.

Dec 24, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)

Global equities look likely to push higher in 2021, despite the pandemic’s economic and human toll.

Dec 23, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)

To summarize the year of 2020, the opening lines from Charles Dicken’s A Tale of twin cities sounds like an accurate description. It was certainly the best of times and the worst of times. Global equities have been doing reasonably well with developed market up by 12.0% and emerging market up by 11.7%. Fixed income managed to gain by 7.4% whilst gold price was up by 19.1%. On the other hand, real economy has been suffering from the pandemic with almost all major economies getting into recession. International Monetary Fund sees the world would contract by 4.4% in total output, the worst crisis since the 1930s Great Depression with -5.8% among advanced economies and -3.3% on developing countries.

Dec 02, 2020

[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does?  – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old
insight[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does? – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old

From a total portfolio perspective, global asset owners and allocators are increasing wary about the overall portfolio sensitivity to interest rate changes and ultimately risk diversification. The concept of “equity duration” was raised long ago and has been subject to debate for decades. While some absolute calculations fail to work in today’s markets, we believe the economic and financial intuition beneath still hold. In this working paper, we took a renewed approach to analyze the relationships from a relative perspective and with an overarching objective of total portfolio risks in mind.

Nov 26, 2020

RCEP:全球最大貿易協定的含義
insightRCEP:全球最大貿易協定的含義

上星期發生了一件有關全球主要貿易和地緣政治的大事, 其受媒體關注程度遠不如於美國政治和現時疫情。

Nov 24, 2020

China A Factor Review 3Q 2020
insightChina A Factor Review 3Q 2020

As business activities in China mostly resume to a normal level, we also observed some mean-reversion in factor returns, and interesting rotation in sector returns. Still, China A shares continue to outperform the US and global equity markets. With “high-quality” growth emphasized by the 14th Five-Year Plan and “Dual Circulation”, we believe “Quality Growth” will continue to be the main tone of China A equities.

Nov 11, 2020

Premia 圖說

CGBs remain as haven assets
  • 賴子健

    賴子健 , CFA

    CFA

China government bonds have quietly emerged as one of the strongest-performing major sovereign bond markets year-to-date, standing in sharp contrast to the losses seen across most developed and emerging market fixed-income assets. While elevated crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions have reignited global inflation concerns, bond markets in the US, Europe, Japan, and several emerging economies have come under pressure as investors increasingly price in the risk of further policy tightening. US Treasury yields, in particular, have risen sharply amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to resume rate hikes by the end of this year, with other central banks potentially following suit to contain inflationary pressures. China, however, presents a very different macro and policy backdrop. While expectations for near-term rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China have faded alongside improving domestic growth, policymakers are likewise not expected to move toward tightening. The PBOC continues to maintain a supportive and “moderately loose” policy stance, while China’s inflation pressures remain relatively contained. This divergence has reinforced the defensive characteristics of China government and policy bank bonds, which continue to provide stability and steady returns while many global bond markets face ongoing capital loss risks. For institutional investors seeking duration exposure with lower inflation sensitivity and reduced tightening risk, the Premia China Treasury and Policy Bank Bond Long Duration ETF offers efficient access to one of the few major sovereign bond markets still benefiting from a supportive monetary environment.

May 28, 2026

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