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Premia 觀點洞察
Premia 觀點洞察
分享投資見解、洞察行業熱點、探討學術研究

精選觀點 & Webinar

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 3 – ASEAN)

Outperformer from first news of successful vaccines. Emerging ASEAN has been one of the best performers among major global equity indices since the start of November. And that was likely due to the region’s high economic leverage to normalisation after the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines and its high trend GDP growth rates relative to other Emerging Market economies.

Dec 24, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 2 – Global)

Global equities look likely to push higher in 2021, despite the pandemic’s economic and human toll.

Dec 23, 2020

Pressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)
insightPressing on from the unprecedented 2020: Outlook 2021 (Part 1 – China)

To summarize the year of 2020, the opening lines from Charles Dicken’s A Tale of twin cities sounds like an accurate description. It was certainly the best of times and the worst of times. Global equities have been doing reasonably well with developed market up by 12.0% and emerging market up by 11.7%. Fixed income managed to gain by 7.4% whilst gold price was up by 19.1%. On the other hand, real economy has been suffering from the pandemic with almost all major economies getting into recession. International Monetary Fund sees the world would contract by 4.4% in total output, the worst crisis since the 1930s Great Depression with -5.8% among advanced economies and -3.3% on developing countries.

Dec 02, 2020

[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does?  – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old
insight[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does? – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old

From a total portfolio perspective, global asset owners and allocators are increasing wary about the overall portfolio sensitivity to interest rate changes and ultimately risk diversification. The concept of “equity duration” was raised long ago and has been subject to debate for decades. While some absolute calculations fail to work in today’s markets, we believe the economic and financial intuition beneath still hold. In this working paper, we took a renewed approach to analyze the relationships from a relative perspective and with an overarching objective of total portfolio risks in mind.

Nov 26, 2020

RCEP:全球最大貿易協定的含義
insightRCEP:全球最大貿易協定的含義

上星期發生了一件有關全球主要貿易和地緣政治的大事, 其受媒體關注程度遠不如於美國政治和現時疫情。

Nov 24, 2020

China A Factor Review 3Q 2020
insightChina A Factor Review 3Q 2020

As business activities in China mostly resume to a normal level, we also observed some mean-reversion in factor returns, and interesting rotation in sector returns. Still, China A shares continue to outperform the US and global equity markets. With “high-quality” growth emphasized by the 14th Five-Year Plan and “Dual Circulation”, we believe “Quality Growth” will continue to be the main tone of China A equities.

Nov 11, 2020

What the results of the US Elections mean for markets
insightWhat the results of the US Elections mean for markets

So, it is official: Exit Donald Trump, enter President Joe Biden. And when the cheering and crying is done, we are likely to see that the election meant more emotionally to Americans than it does economically for the nation, or financially for the markets. The big economic and market trends are unlikely to be changed by the election.

Nov 09, 2020

Continuing supply side reforms - China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan
insightContinuing supply side reforms - China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan

China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan is a refreshing reiteration of conventional supply side policies, at a time when Developed Markets are in the grip of very unorthodox economic policies.

Nov 04, 2020

How do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies
insightHow do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies

The term "dual circulation” is one of the hot searches in China and receives great attention after President Xi first expressed this idea at a top official meeting held earlier this year. He then elaborated further that China’s economic model will be involving an internal circulation developing a substantial domestic market, and an external circulation deepening the international trade. The latest meeting of Communist Party’s Central Committee reinforced this policy will be the core component of the 14th five-year plan for the development between 2021 and 2025.

Nov 04, 2020

Why Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance
insightWhy Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance

The latest economic data confirms the upward trajectory of Chinese growth, putting China on track to be the only major economy to register growth for the full year 2020. And it highlights the attractiveness of China’s asset markets and supports the case for continued outperformance against other major markets.

Oct 28, 2020

Premia 圖說

China hardcore tech and growth stocks outperforming
  • 朱榮熙

    朱榮熙

Chinese new economy stocks, led by battery and semiconductor names, have reclaimed the outperformance against the broader market year-to-date, shrugging off ongoing US-Iran geopolitical noise. This resilience is underpinned by a combination of macroeconomic reflation, structural policy support, and accelerated technological self-reliance. On the macro front, China has officially exited factory deflation after more than three years. This is a critical inflection point: Goldman Sachs research shows that equities perform best when growth stabilizes alongside steadily rising inflation, with a concurrent PPI rate in the 0-4% range generating the highest historical returns across 1- to 12-month horizons. This reflationary tailwind is being amplified by targeted sector developments. In the battery and renewable space, the government summoned 16 leading manufacturers to restrict unchecked capacity expansion and curb price wars. Furthermore, the NDR’s new Order No. 41 raises thresholds for energy storage stations. Together, these moves force the industry to transition from “scale expansion” to “high-quality development”, directly benefiting top-tier power equipment and ESS producers. Simultaneously, the push for semiconductor self-reliance is accelerating. Reports indicate that DeepSeek’s highly anticipated V4 model will run on Huawei AI chips instead of Nvidia GPUs–a massive endorsement of domestic AI infrastructure that sparked a rally in local names like Cambricon. Should this reflationary momentum continue, new economy stocks are positioned to widen their outperformance gap. Investors forced on upstream hardware can capture this through our Premia China STAR50 ETF. For a broader play on this innovative growth story–spanning semiconductors, AI, EVs, and biotech–our Premia CSI Caixin China New Economy ETF offers an optimal, diversified approach.

Apr 20, 2026

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