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Premia 观点洞察
Premia 观点洞察
分享投资见解、洞察行业热点、探讨学术研究

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[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does?  – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old
insight[WORKING PAPER] Equity Duration: What cease to hold and what still does? – Relative Perspectives on China vs. the US and the New vs. the Old

From a total portfolio perspective, global asset owners and allocators are increasing wary about the overall portfolio sensitivity to interest rate changes and ultimately risk diversification. The concept of “equity duration” was raised long ago and has been subject to debate for decades. While some absolute calculations fail to work in today’s markets, we believe the economic and financial intuition beneath still hold. In this working paper, we took a renewed approach to analyze the relationships from a relative perspective and with an overarching objective of total portfolio risks in mind.

Nov 26, 2020

RCEP: implications of the world’s biggest trade pact
insightRCEP: implications of the world’s biggest trade pact

A major global trading and geopolitical event happened last week, attracting relatively little commentary from a media more preoccupied with US politics and the pandemic.

Nov 24, 2020

China A Factor Review 3Q 2020
insightChina A Factor Review 3Q 2020

As business activities in China mostly resume to a normal level, we also observed some mean-reversion in factor returns, and interesting rotation in sector returns. Still, China A shares continue to outperform the US and global equity markets. With “high-quality” growth emphasized by the 14th Five-Year Plan and “Dual Circulation”, we believe “Quality Growth” will continue to be the main tone of China A equities.

Nov 11, 2020

What the results of the US Elections mean for markets
insightWhat the results of the US Elections mean for markets

So, it is official: Exit Donald Trump, enter President Joe Biden. And when the cheering and crying is done, we are likely to see that the election meant more emotionally to Americans than it does economically for the nation, or financially for the markets. The big economic and market trends are unlikely to be changed by the election.

Nov 09, 2020

Continuing supply side reforms - China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan
insightContinuing supply side reforms - China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan

China’s 14th, Five-Year Plan is a refreshing reiteration of conventional supply side policies, at a time when Developed Markets are in the grip of very unorthodox economic policies.

Nov 04, 2020

How do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies
insightHow do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies

The term "dual circulation” is one of the hot searches in China and receives great attention after President Xi first expressed this idea at a top official meeting held earlier this year. He then elaborated further that China’s economic model will be involving an internal circulation developing a substantial domestic market, and an external circulation deepening the international trade. The latest meeting of Communist Party’s Central Committee reinforced this policy will be the core component of the 14th five-year plan for the development between 2021 and 2025.

Nov 04, 2020

Why Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance
insightWhy Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance

The latest economic data confirms the upward trajectory of Chinese growth, putting China on track to be the only major economy to register growth for the full year 2020. And it highlights the attractiveness of China’s asset markets and supports the case for continued outperformance against other major markets.

Oct 28, 2020

What China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape
insightWhat China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape

Two separate news items last week focused our attention on the gap in understanding about the rapidly changing energy landscape in China.

Oct 20, 2020

常见主题——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行业反弹及大趋势等
webinar常见主题——新冠疫情、中美角力、科技行业反弹及大趋势等

自新冠疫情爆发以来,我们观察到许多Premia ETF的成分股为风口下的受益者,尽管面临市场动荡、新冠疫情和中美关系恶化,这些强势股仍持续带领Premia ETF绩效蒸蒸日上。在本场研讨会中,我们的联合首席投资官赖子健、吕霭华及销售副总裁罗宁雨将探讨与日常客户对话中,常见的问题及热门主题,特别是我们旗下的Premia中国新经济ETF (3173/9173 HK),此档ETF年初迄今绩效录得40%*,且自今年四月以来资产管理规模暴涨三倍达2.85亿美元,成为香港第四大的中国A股ETF。请点击这里查看讨论的纪录。*截至2020年10月12日

Oct 15, 2020

US Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening
insightUS Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening

Yield curve steepening – which has been accelerating in recent weeks as the market contemplates a whopper of a stimulus package under a possible Biden White House – is likely to continue regardless of the winner on November 3.

Oct 14, 2020

Premia 图说

Taiwan equities going from strength to strength
  • 赖子健

    赖子健 , CFA

    CFA

Taiwan's economic outlook is experiencing a significant uplift, driven by the burgeoning AI revolution and a recently cemented trade pact with the US. Economic growth forecasts for this year have been upgraded to an impressive 7.7%, a substantial increase from the 3.5% projection made in November. This revised outlook anticipates Taiwan's GDP reaching an unprecedented USD1tn, marking a historic achievement for the island. Fueling this robust growth is an expected surge in exports, now projected to rise by 22.2% in 2026, a sharp acceleration from the earlier 6.3% forecast. These positive revisions reflect a broad consensus among financial institutions, with Bank of America nearly doubling its growth prediction due to “relentless global demand“ for Taiwan's advanced tech hardware, including critical AI chips and servers. The enhanced capital expenditures by cloud providers, exceeding initial expectations, further underscore the formidable strength of AI-related infrastructure. The strategic trade agreement finalized between the US and Taiwan earlier this month is a pivotal catalyst, set to reduce average tariff rates on Taiwanese exports to the US from nearly 36% to ~12%. This landmark deal, hailed as a shift from “defense to offense“ by Taiwan Premier Cho Jung-tai, will cement Taiwan’s position as an economic powerhouse. The tangible impact of these developments is already visible in Taiwan's equities market, which has seen remarkable performance. The stock market has advanced by at least 25% for three consecutive years, with a further ~15% gain to a new record in 2026 alone. For institutional investors looking to capitalize on this strong structural uptrend in Taiwan equities, the Premia FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 ETF presents an optimal and strategic investment vehicle to capture this solid growth story.

Feb 23, 2026

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