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Premia Insights
Premia Insights
Our perspectives on trends & issues that are reshaping the industry and the investment community

featured insights & webinar

How do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies
insightHow do we decipher “Dual Circulation” for our China strategies

The term "dual circulation” is one of the hot searches in China and receives great attention after President Xi first expressed this idea at a top official meeting held earlier this year. He then elaborated further that China’s economic model will be involving an internal circulation developing a substantial domestic market, and an external circulation deepening the international trade. The latest meeting of Communist Party’s Central Committee reinforced this policy will be the core component of the 14th five-year plan for the development between 2021 and 2025.

Nov 04, 2020

Why Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance
insightWhy Chinese market is likely to continue outperformance

The latest economic data confirms the upward trajectory of Chinese growth, putting China on track to be the only major economy to register growth for the full year 2020. And it highlights the attractiveness of China’s asset markets and supports the case for continued outperformance against other major markets.

Oct 28, 2020

What China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape
insightWhat China’s “import ban” on Aussie coal says about the rapidly changing energy landscape

Two separate news items last week focused our attention on the gap in understanding about the rapidly changing energy landscape in China.

Oct 20, 2020

US Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening
insightUS Fiscal Explosion and Yield Curve Steepening

Yield curve steepening – which has been accelerating in recent weeks as the market contemplates a whopper of a stimulus package under a possible Biden White House – is likely to continue regardless of the winner on November 3.

Oct 14, 2020

Frequent Topics – COVID, US China tension, Tech sector rally, Asia megatrends and more
webinarFrequent Topics – COVID, US China tension, Tech sector rally, Asia megatrends and more

Since COVID we have observed that many constituents in our Premia ETFs have been silver lining beneficiaries and continue rallying notwithstanding the market volatilities, unfolding COVID situation and US China tension. Here we share the conversation with our Co-CIO David Lai and team, on some frequent topics that come up often in our client conversations, especially around China new economy ETF (3173/ 9173 HK), which registered strong YTD return* of ~40% and have become the 4th largest A shares ETF in Hong Kong as consistent inflows since April tripled its AUM to ~US$285 million.Please click here for transcript to the disscussion.*as of October 12th 2020

Oct 14, 2020

China – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”
insightChina – the first post-pandemic, “normalized economy”

The Chinese economy continues to normalize across the board at an impressive rate, leading to the strong likelihood of it beating the current Bloomberg consensus GDP estimate growth rate of around 2% for 2020.

Oct 06, 2020

Rethinking China and Emerging Markets
insightRethinking China and Emerging Markets

The COVID-19 pandemic could accelerate new thinking about Emerging Markets in asset allocations.

Sep 23, 2020

Quick recovery on China corporate earnings
insightQuick recovery on China corporate earnings

China economy recovered faster than the rest of the world from the pandemic as shown by various economic indicators ranging from official PMI, GDP number, steel output, excavator sales, to traffic data. China’s solid macro recovery stands out from the rest of the major economies which either remain in a lock-down mode or simply begin to resume economic activities. That explains Chinese listed companies outperformed in terms of earnings and stock price performance.

Sep 10, 2020

US Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound
insightUS Dollar - an Untrustworthy Rebound

An overdue technical rebound in the US Dollar – which started a week ago – may give investors an opportunity to diversify their currency holdings away from the Greenback. What is emerging could well turn out to be a counter-trend rally in a bigger, multi-year Dollar decline.

Sep 09, 2020

Chart Of the Week

CGBs remain as haven assets
  • David Lai

    David Lai , CFA

    CFA

China government bonds have quietly emerged as one of the strongest-performing major sovereign bond markets year-to-date, standing in sharp contrast to the losses seen across most developed and emerging market fixed-income assets. While elevated crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions have reignited global inflation concerns, bond markets in the US, Europe, Japan, and several emerging economies have come under pressure as investors increasingly price in the risk of further policy tightening. US Treasury yields, in particular, have risen sharply amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to resume rate hikes by the end of this year, with other central banks potentially following suit to contain inflationary pressures. China, however, presents a very different macro and policy backdrop. While expectations for near-term rate cuts by the People’s Bank of China have faded alongside improving domestic growth, policymakers are likewise not expected to move toward tightening. The PBOC continues to maintain a supportive and “moderately loose” policy stance, while China’s inflation pressures remain relatively contained. This divergence has reinforced the defensive characteristics of China government and policy bank bonds, which continue to provide stability and steady returns while many global bond markets face ongoing capital loss risks. For institutional investors seeking duration exposure with lower inflation sensitivity and reduced tightening risk, the Premia China Treasury and Policy Bank Bond Long Duration ETF offers efficient access to one of the few major sovereign bond markets still benefiting from a supportive monetary environment.

May 28, 2026

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