Premia Insights

Our perspectives on trends & issues that are reshaping the industry and the investment community

FEATURED INSIGHTS

The COVID-19 outbreak has led to a worldwide pandemic, a global slowdown, arguably a recession and hopefully not a depression. Business activities globally have been halted due to the outbreak and demand has been shrinking significantly as well. Apart from some of the Asian countries including China, we have yet seen an inflection point of the case curves in most countries. In this article, we’d like to share some notable leading Chinese players in the space that have been working hard to fight against the virus for the domestic and global community.


Apr 3, 2020


The virous outbreak becomes one of the largest threats to the global economy and financial markets in decades. Will China, the one which has been suffered from the pandemic first, be able to bounce back first and lead the recovery worldwide like the Global Financial Crisis back in 2008? The latest call in new infrastructure investment maybe the key.


Mar 20, 2020


The coronavirus situation in China seems to have improved a lot, and now many are worried about what will happen as the factories get back on their feet. How's the progress so far?


Mar 10, 2020


COVID-19 spread accelerating in the US, even as the number of new infections in China eases Impact will be significant on the largely consumer-driven US economy Markets are either in or on the brink of bear territory, and this is an angry bear Recession likely already in progress in Japan; possible recession in Europe; near zero GDP growth likely in the US by 2Q20 Corporate credit protection costs have started rising – more trouble ahead Seek safety in cash and US Treasury-related instruments


Mar 10, 2020


As we expected, markets did bounce on policy stimulus hopes. While rate cuts and liquidity injections will make markets feel better for a while at least, what is it likely to do for the economy?


Mar 3, 2020


Relief rally unlikely to last Beyond COVID-19, economies could flatline or enter recession Corporate earnings could stop growing at a time of heightened valuations There is a tail risk of credit defaults on liquidity and cashflow squeeze


Mar 3, 2020

PREMIA POINT OF VIEW
  • Alex Chu

    Portfolio Manager

In March, the Fixed Income ETFs had an outflow of more than 35 billion USD, which was the first time since 2019. Most major equity indexes have dropped more than 20% and entered the bear market technically, but that didn’t stop investors from bottom-fishing. The Equity ETFs had an inflow of more than 48 billion, which was the largest in the last three months. Investors also tried to pick the bottom of Crude oil as it has once dropped below 20 dollars per barrel, while some investors were buying gold to diversify and hedge against inflation risk. The commodity ETFs recorded a substantial inflow of more than 6 billion USD in March. As the Fed expands its balance sheet massively and fund managers find the risk premiums on high-grade bonds attractive, let’s see if the flow to Fixed Income ETFs would bounce back to positive in April.

Apr 9, 2020
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